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Americans Remain Negative on Tax Bill After Its Passage

Americans Remain Negative on Tax Bill After Its Passage

Story Highlights

  • 33% approve of the tax law in January, 55% disapprove
  • Republican approval has edged up to 78% from 70% a month ago
  • 20% congressional approval in January 2018, matching the 2017 average

WASHINGTON, D.C. -- A majority of Americans continue to disapprove of the nation's new tax reform law after its late December passage, just as they did a month ago when it was still being debated.

Gallup assessed attitudes toward the tax bill in early December and found disapproval outweighing approval by almost 2 to 1: 56% vs. 29%. A month later, after Congress passed the bill and President Donald Trump signed it into law on Dec. 22, a new Gallup survey finds little substantive change. Approval has edged up four percentage points to 33% as the percentage with no opinion dropped by a similar amount, but these changes are not statistically significant.

Views of the Tax Law, December 2017 and January 2018
Question wording Approve Disapprove No opinion
% % %
Before passage, Dec 1-2, 2017 "The tax bill being debated in Congress that would make major changes to the federal tax code for individuals and businesses" 29 56 16
After passage, Jan 2-7, 2018 "The tax bill recently passed by Congress and signed into law by the president" 33 55 12
GALLUP

The law continues to receive a solid approval score among Republicans, much lower approval among independents and almost no support among Democrats. Approval increased by eight points between December and January among Republicans and by seven points among independents. The single-digit approval among Democrats remained virtually the same.

Republicans' Approval of Tax Law Edges Up
% Approve
Republicans Independents Democrats
% % %
Before passage, Dec 1-2, 2017 70 25 7
After passage, Jan 2-7, 2018 78 32 6
Gallup

Congress Approval Up Somewhat Among Republicans

Members of the Republican-led Congress have extolled the passage of the new tax bill, partly because it represents a demonstrable accomplishment in a year when the legislative body had been criticized for getting little done. But the bill remains unpopular, and there is little evidence to date of any resulting major change in the American public's views of Congress.

##SPEEDBUMP##

Congress' job approval is 20% in January -- not a significant shift from the 17% measured in early December before the bill's passage, although the past couple of months are up from the 2017 nadir of 13% recorded in October and November. The current reading roughly matches the monthly average for all of 2017 but is well below the 28% monthly high point last year, which was measured in February after Trump was inaugurated, giving the GOP control of the presidency and Congress.

Congressional Job Approval at 20% in January

As was the case for their views of the tax law, Republicans' positive views of Congress rose modestly in January, to 37% from December's 29%. The current approval rating among Republicans is the highest since readings of 50% and 43% in February and March of last year.

Congress approval among independents also increased, by six points in January, while Democrats' approval rating dropped two points to 9%, the lowest among that group since early 2014.

Republican Approval of Congress Highest Since March 2017

Bottom Line

The tax reform bill passed into law in December was among the most far-reaching pieces of legislation in decades -- and the signature accomplishment of Congress last year. But so far, there has been little overall change in Americans' majority disapproval of the law or in their views of Congress. The law's passage did appear to spark a modest improvement in Republicans' views of Congress, although it did nothing to affect the quite negative attitudes of Democrats. Similarly, Republicans' views of the law itself edged up from a month ago when it was still being debated, but a majority of all Americans continue to disapprove.

Trump and Republican leaders predict that public attitudes toward the law (and presumably toward Congress and the president) will improve once its monetary impact shows up in workers' paychecks in the months ahead. If there is any anticipation of that eventuality among Americans, it is not highly evident in the available data so far.

Survey Methods

Results for this Gallup poll are based on telephone interviews conducted Jan. 2-7, 2018, with a random sample of 1,024 adults, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. For results based on the total sample of national adults, the margin of sampling error is ±4 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. For results based on the samples of Republicans, independents and Democrats, the margins of sampling error are between ± 6 and ±8 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. All reported margins of sampling error include computed design effects for weighting.

Each sample of national adults includes a minimum quota of 70% cellphone respondents and 30% landline respondents, with additional minimum quotas by time zone within region. Landline and cellular telephone numbers are selected using random-digit-dial methods.

View survey methodology, complete question responses and trends.

Learn more about how the Gallup Poll Social Series works.

Gallup


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