|Date(s)||% Obama||% McCain|
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Gallup's "expanded" likely voter model determines likely voters based only on current voting intentions. This estimate would take into account higher turnout among groups of voters traditionally less likely to vote, such as young adults and minorities.
Gallup Daily is tracking the percentage of registered voters who say they have already voted in this year's election, either by absentee ballot or early voting opportunities in their state, as well as those who say they plan to vote at some point before Election Day.
Gallup Daily election tracking reports the percentage of registered voters who say they would support each candidate if the presidential election were held today.