PRINCETON, NJ -- The latest CNN/USA Today/Gallup tracking poll shows that the margin between George W. Bush and Al Gore has narrowed, and is now -- at a 46% to 44% Bush lead -- within the poll's margin of error. As was the case after the first debate, the third debate on October 17th was followed by an increase in support for Bush, but -- as also happened after the first debate -- the race has tightened. About a quarter of the likely voters indicate they could change their minds by Election Day and vote for someone other than their currently preferred candidate, underscoring the closeness and volatility of this year’s race. The poll also shows that on several other measures, except for honesty (where Bush fares considerably better than Gore) the electorate sees only slight differences between the two candidates.
Debates Have Been Good for Bush
The pattern of change in likely voter preferences has been roughly
consistent after both the first and third debates. Bush received a
"bounce" in support from the first debate, eventually achieving an
8-point lead in the days that followed the event. Gore then
recovered before the second debate, only to see Bush move back
ahead after the second debate’s completion. Following this
same pattern, Bush gained a significant advantage after last
week’s debate in St. Louis but, as the current poll shows,
the margin has again declined.
Bush's current 2-point advantage comes despite the fact that Democrats outnumber Republicans by about four percentage points -- 48.4% to 44.5% -- in the likely electorate. Republican voters show more loyalty to their party's candidate than do Democrats, as Bush wins among voters in his own party by 86 percentage points (91% to 5%), while Gore wins among Democrats by the much smaller margin of 74 percentage points (83% to 9%). About 7% of the likely electorate identifies as independent, and this group shows a slight preference for Gore. However, the size of this group and its margin of support are too small to overcome the advantage that Bush gets from the greater GOP party loyalty.
The poll results show that about a quarter of the likely electorate indicate they could change their minds before election day -- 13% who are not now voting for Gore but say they could do so, and 12% who are not currently voting for Bush but say they could do so.
Voters See Little Difference Between Candidates,
Except on Honesty
Voters rate the two candidates about equally in favorability and in
the quality of their policies and leadership abilities. About six
in ten voters give each candidate a "favorable" rating -- 58% for
Gore and 60% for Bush. The two candidates were tied on this measure
before the debates began, but Gore’s favorable rating had
declined in the immediate aftermath of the first debate on October
3rd. Now, as the race enters its final two weeks, the
two candidates are tied on this measure once again. Additionally,
and by almost identical margins, voters say that Gore's policies --
and separately, Bush's policies -- would move the country in the
right rather than the wrong direction. Similarly, 58% of likely
voters agree that Gore, and separately that Bush, has the
personality and leadership qualities a president should have.
On the characteristic of integrity, however, Bush enjoys a clear edge over Gore. By a margin of 64% to 29%, voters say that the Texas governor is honest and trustworthy, compared with a margin of 55% to 41% who say that about the vice president.
Survey Methods
Results are based on telephone interviews with -- 1,230 -- National Adults, aged 18+, conducted October 20-22, 2000. For results based on the total sample of National Adults, one can say with 95% confidence that the margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points.
Results based on the subsample of -- 1,008 -- people who indicate they are registered to vote have a margin of sampling error of +/- 3 percentage points.
Results based on likely voters are based on the subsample of -- 769 -- survey respondents deemed most likely to vote in the November 2000 General Election, according to a series of questions measuring current voting intentions and past voting behavior. For results based on the total sample of Likely Voters, one can say with 95% confidence that the margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points.
Now, suppose that the presidential election were being held today, and it included Al Gore and Joe Lieberman [LEE-ber-min] as the Democratic candidates, George W. Bush and Dick Cheney [CHAIN-EE] as the Republican candidates, Pat Buchanan and Ezola [EE-zol-ah] Foster as the Reform Party candidates, and Ralph Nader and Winona LaDuke as the Green Party candidates. Would you vote for -- [RANDOM ORDER: Al Gore and Joe Lieberman, the Democrats, George W. Bush and Dick Cheney the Republican candidate, Pat Buchanan and Ezola Foster, the Reform Party candidates, (or) Ralph Nader and Winona LaDuke, the Green Party candidates]?
2A. As of today, do you lean toward Gore and Lieberman, the Democrats, Bush and Cheney, the Republicans, Buchanan and Foster, the Reform Party candidates, or Nader and LaDuke, the Green Party candidates?
|
Gore/ |
Bush/ |
Buchanan/Foster |
Nader/ |
OTHER |
No |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Likely Voters |
||||||
|
2000 Oct 20-22 |
44 |
46 |
1 |
4 |
1 |
4 |
|
2000 Oct 19-21 |
41 |
50 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
4 |
|
2000 Oct 18-20 |
40 |
51 |
1 |
4 |
* |
4 |
|
2000 Oct 17-19 |
40 |
50 |
* |
4 |
1 |
5 |
|
2000 Oct 16-18 |
39 |
49 |
* |
5 |
1 |
6 |
|
2000 Oct 15-17 |
42 |
48 |
* |
4 |
* |
6 |
|
2000 Oct 14-16 |
44 |
47 |
* |
3 |
* |
6 |
|
2000 Oct 13-15 |
44 |
47 |
1 |
3 |
* |
5 |
|
2000 Oct 12-14 |
43 |
48 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
5 |
|
2000 Oct 11-13 |
44 |
48 |
1 |
2 |
* |
5 |
|
2000 Oct 10-12 |
45 |
45 |
* |
3 |
* |
7 |
|
2000 Oct 9-11 |
45 |
44 |
1 |
2 |
* |
8 |
|
2000 Oct 8-10 |
45 |
45 |
1 |
2 |
* |
7 |
|
2000 Oct 7-9 |
44 |
47 |
1 |
3 |
0 |
5 |
|
2000 Oct 6-8 |
42 |
50 |
* |
4 |
0 |
4 |
|
2000 Oct 5-7 |
41 |
49 |
1 |
4 |
0 |
5 |
|
2000 Oct 4-6 |
41 |
48 |
1 |
4 |
* |
6 |
|
2000 Oct 3-5 |
45 |
44 |
1 |
4 |
* |
6 |
|
2000 Oct 2-4 |
51 |
40 |
1 |
2 |
* |
6 |
|
2000 Oct 1-3 |
49 |
41 |
1 |
2 |
* |
7 |
|
2000 Sep 30-Oct 2 |
46 |
44 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
6 |
|
2000 Sep 29-Oct 1 |
45 |
45 |
1 |
3 |
* |
6 |
|
2000 Sep 28-30 |
45 |
45 |
1 |
4 |
0 |
5 |
|
2000 Sep 27-29 |
46 |
44 |
1 |
4 |
0 |
5 |
|
2000 Sep 26-28 |
44 |
46 |
* |
4 |
1 |
5 |
|
2000 Sep 25-27 |
46 |
46 |
1 |
3 |
* |
4 |
|
2000 Sep 24-26 |
44 |
46 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
6 |
|
2000 Sep 23-25 |
44 |
46 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
6 |
|
2000 Sep 22-24 |
44 |
47 |
1 |
2 |
* |
6 |
|
2000 Sep 21-23 |
46 |
47 |
1 |
1 |
* |
5 |
|
2000 Sep 20-22 |
48 |
45 |
* |
1 |
* |
6 |
|
2000 Sep 19-21 |
50 |
42 |
2 |
2 |
* |
4 |
Q.2/2A CONTINUED
|
Gore/ |
Bush/ |
Buchanan/Foster |
Nader/ |
OTHER |
No |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Likely Voters |
||||||
|
2000 Sep 18-20 |
51 |
41 |
1 |
3 |
* |
4 |
|
2000 Sep 17-19 |
49 |
43 |
1 |
3 |
* |
4 |
|
2000 Sep 16-18 |
48 |
44 |
* |
2 |
1 |
5 |
|
2000 Sep 15-17 |
48 |
43 |
1 |
3 |
* |
5 |
|
2000 Sep 14-16 |
49 |
41 |
1 |
3 |
* |
6 |
|
2000 Sep 13-15 |
48 |
42 |
1 |
3 |
* |
6 |
|
2000 Sep 12-14 |
49 |
42 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
5 |
|
2000 Sep 11-13 |
49 |
42 |
1 |
3 |
* |
5 |
|
2000 Sep 10-12 |
49 |
41 |
1 |
4 |
1 |
4 |
|
2000 Sep 9-11 |
48 |
42 |
1 |
4 |
1 |
4 |
|
2000 Sep 8-10 |
49 |
42 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
4 |
|
2000 Sep 7-9 |
47 |
44 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
5 |
|
2000 Sep 6-8 |
45 |
46 |
1 |
2 |
* |
6 |
|
2000 Sep 5-7 |
46 |
43 |
1 |
3 |
* |
7 |
|
2000 Sep 4-6 |
47 |
44 |
* |
3 |
* |
6 |
|
2000 Aug 24-27 |
45 |
46 |
1 |
3 |
* |
5 |
|
2000 Aug 18-19 |
47 |
46 |
2 |
3 |
* |
2 |
|
2000 Aug 11-12 † |
39 |
55 |
* |
2 |
* |
4 |
|
2000 Aug 4-5 |
37 |
54 |
1 |
4 |
* |
4 |
|
2000 Jul 25-26 ^ |
39 |
50 |
1 |
4 |
1 |
5 |
|
2000 Jul 14-16 |
43 |
45 |
3 |
5 |
* |
4 |
|
2000 Jun 23-25 |
38 |
50 |
2 |
6 |
0 |
4 |
|
2000 Jun 6-7 |
41 |
46 |
2 |
6 |
* |
5 |
|
2000 Apr 28-30 |
41 |
47 |
4 |
4 |
1 |
3 |
|
^ vice presidential candidates Cheney and LaDuke included on ballot beginning July 25-26, 2000 |
||||||
|
† vice presidential candidates Lieberman and Foster included on ballot beginning August 11-12, 2000 |
||||||
Q.2/2A CONTINUED
|
Gore/ |
Bush/ |
Buchanan/ |
Nader/ |
OTHER |
No |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Registered Voters |
||||||
|
2000 Oct 20-22 |
44 |
44 |
1 |
5 |
1 |
5 |
|
2000 Oct 19-21 |
43 |
46 |
1 |
4 |
1 |
5 |
|
2000 Oct 18-20 |
42 |
46 |
1 |
5 |
* |
6 |
|
2000 Oct 17-19 |
42 |
44 |
1 |
5 |
* |
8 |
|
2000 Oct 16-18 |
41 |
44 |
1 |
6 |
* |
8 |
|
2000 Oct 15-17 |
43 |
44 |
1 |
5 |
* |
7 |
|
2000 Oct 14-16 |
44 |
44 |
1 |
4 |
* |
7 |
|
2000 Oct 13-15 |
45 |
44 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
6 |
|
2000 Oct 12-14 |
43 |
45 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
7 |
|
2000 Oct 11-13 |
43 |
43 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
9 |
|
2000 Oct 10-12 |
44 |
41 |
1 |
3 |
* |
11 |
|
2000 Oct 9-11 |
44 |
39 |
1 |
3 |
* |
13 |
|
2000 Oct 8-10 |
45 |
40 |
1 |
4 |
* |
10 |
|
2000 Oct 7-9 |
44 |
42 |
1 |
4 |
* |
9 |
|
2000 Oct 6-8 |
43 |
44 |
2 |
4 |
* |
7 |
|
2000 Oct 5-7 |
42 |
44 |
2 |
4 |
* |
8 |
|
2000 Oct 4-6 |
43 |
43 |
2 |
4 |
* |
8 |
|
2000 Oct 3-5 |
45 |
41 |
1 |
4 |
* |
9 |
|
2000 Oct 2-4 |
48 |
39 |
1 |
3 |
* |
9 |
|
2000 Oct 1-3 |
48 |
38 |
1 |
3 |
* |
10 |
|
2000 Sep 30-Oct 2 |
47 |
39 |
1 |
3 |
* |
10 |
|
2000 Sep 29-Oct 1 |
47 |
40 |
1 |
4 |
* |
8 |
|
2000 Sep 28-30 |
46 |
41 |
1 |
4 |
* |
8 |
|
2000 Sep 27-29 |
47 |
40 |
1 |
4 |
0 |
8 |
|
2000 Sep 26-28 |
45 |
42 |
* |
3 |
1 |
9 |
|
2000 Sep 25-27 |
46 |
42 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
8 |
|
2000 Sep 24-26 |
47 |
41 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
8 |
|
2000 Sep 23-25 |
48 |
40 |
1 |
2 |
* |
9 |
|
2000 Sep 22-24 |
46 |
42 |
1 |
2 |
* |
9 |
|
2000 Sep 21-23 |
46 |
43 |
1 |
2 |
* |
8 |
|
2000 Sep 20-22 |
47 |
43 |
* |
2 |
* |
8 |
|
2000 Sep 19-21 |
49 |
41 |
1 |
2 |
* |
7 |
|
2000 Sep 18-20 |
50 |
39 |
1 |
3 |
* |
7 |
|
2000 Sep 17-19 |
50 |
40 |
1 |
2 |
* |
7 |
|
2000 Sep 16-18 |
49 |
40 |
* |
2 |
1 |
8 |
|
2000 Sep 15-17 |
50 |
39 |
1 |
3 |
* |
7 |
|
2000 Sep 14-16 |
49 |
38 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
8 |
|
2000 Sep 13-15 |
48 |
40 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
8 |
|
2000 Sep 12-14 |
48 |
40 |
1 |
3 |
* |
8 |
|
2000 Sep 11-13 |
49 |
39 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
7 |
|
2000 Sep 10-12 |
49 |
39 |
* |
4 |
1 |
7 |
|
2000 Sep 9-11 |
47 |
41 |
* |
4 |
1 |
7 |
|
2000 Sep 8-10 |
49 |
40 |
1 |
3 |
* |
7 |
|
2000 Sep 7-9 |
47 |
41 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
7 |
Q.2/2A CONTINUED
|
Gore/ |
Bush/ |
Buchanan/ |
Nader/ |
OTHER |
No |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Registered Voters |
||||||
|
2000 Sep 6-8 |
46 |
43 |
1 |
2 |
* |
8 |
|
2000 Sep 5-7 |
46 |
42 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
8 |
|
2000 Sep 4-6 |
47 |
41 |
1 |
3 |
* |
8 |
|
2000 Aug 24-27 |
48 |
41 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
6 |
|
2000 Aug 18-19 |
48 |
44 |
1 |
3 |
* |
4 |
|
2000 Aug 11-12 † |
40 |
50 |
* |
3 |
* |
7 |
|
2000 Aug 4-5 |
35 |
54 |
1 |
4 |
* |
6 |
|
2000 Jul 25-26 ^ |
41 |
46 |
2 |
4 |
1 |
6 |
|
2000 Jul 14-16 |
41 |
43 |
3 |
6 |
* |
7 |
|
2000 Jun 23-25 |
40 |
47 |
3 |
6 |
0 |
4 |
|
2000 Jun 6-7 |
42 |
43 |
3 |
5 |
* |
7 |
|
2000 Apr 28-30 |
41 |
43 |
4 |
4 |
1 |
7 |
|
^ vice presidential candidates Cheney and LaDuke included on ballot beginning July 25-26, 2000 |
||||||
|
† vice presidential candidates Lieberman and Foster included on ballot beginning August 11-12, 2000 |
||||||
(Non-Gore voters)Is there any chance you would vote for Al Gore in the November election or is there no chance whatsoever that you would vote for him?
3C. (Non-Bush voters)Is there any chance you would vote for George W. Bush in the November election or is there no chance whatsoever that you would vote for him?
GORE VOTER GROUP SUMMARY:
|
Strong |
Weak |
Potential |
No chance |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Likely Voters |
||||
|
(LV) 2000 Oct 20-22 |
37 |
7 |
13 |
43 |
|
(LV) 2000 Sep 26-28 |
35 |
9 |
14 |
42 |
|
(LV) 2000 Sep 8-10 |
39 |
10 |
14 |
37 |
|
(LV) 2000 Sep 7-9 |
38 |
9 |
17 |
36 |
|
(LV) 2000 Aug 24-27 |
37 |
10 |
13 |
40 |
|
(LV) 2000 Aug 18-19 |
39 |
10 |
9 |
42 |
|
(LV) 2000 Aug 11-12 |
30 |
10 |
13 |
47 |
|
(LV) 2000 Apr 7-9 |
30 |
11 |
17 |
42 |
|
(LV) 2000 Mar 10-12 |
34 |
9 |
15 |
42 |
|
(LV) 2000 Jan 17-19 |
29 |
12 |
14 |
45 |
|
(LV) 2000 Jan 7-10 |
32 |
11 |
13 |
44 |
|
Registered Voters |
||||
|
(RV) 2000 Oct 20-22 |
35 |
9 |
14 |
42 |
|
(RV) 2000 Sep 26-28 |
36 |
9 |
18 |
37 |
|
(RV) 2000 Sep 8-10 |
37 |
12 |
17 |
34 |
|
(RV) 2000 Sep 7-9 |
35 |
12 |
20 |
33 |
|
(RV) 2000 Aug 24-27 |
38 |
12 |
15 |
35 |
|
(RV) 2000 Aug 18-19 |
38 |
12 |
13 |
37 |
|
(RV) 2000 Aug 11-12 |
29 |
13 |
15 |
43 |
|
(RV) 2000 Apr 7-9 |
29 |
12 |
19 |
40 |
|
(RV) 2000 Mar 10-12 |
34 |
10 |
18 |
38 |
|
(RV) 2000 Jan 17-19 |
27 |
14 |
16 |
43 |
|
(RV) 2000 Jan 7-10 |
30 |
14 |
16 |
40 |
Q.3B/3C CONTINUED
BUSH VOTER GROUP SUMMARY:
|
Strong |
Weak |
Potential |
No chance |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Likely Voters |
||||
|
(LV) 2000 Oct 20-22 |
40 |
7 |
12 |
42 |
|
(LV) 2000 Sep 26-28 |
38 |
7 |
17 |
39 |
|
(LV) 2000 Sep 8-10 |
34 |
8 |
15 |
43 |
|
(LV) 2000 Sep 7-9 |
34 |
9 |
15 |
42 |
|
(LV) 2000 Aug 24-27 |
39 |
9 |
14 |
38 |
|
(LV) 2000 Aug 18-19 |
42 |
7 |
11 |
40 |
|
(LV) 2000 Aug 11-12 |
46 |
10 |
14 |
30 |
|
(LV) 2000 Apr 7-9 |
39 |
11 |
18 |
32 |
|
(LV) 2000 Mar 10-12 |
41 |
9 |
13 |
37 |
|
(LV) 2000 Jan 17-19 |
43 |
10 |
15 |
32 |
|
(LV) 2000 Jan 7-10 |
41 |
10 |
15 |
34 |
|
Registered Voters |
||||
|
(RV) 2000 Oct 20-22 |
37 |
7 |
15 |
42 |
|
(RV) 2000 Sep 26-28 |
33 |
9 |
20 |
40 |
|
(RV) 2000 Sep 8-10 |
30 |
9 |
19 |
42 |
|
(RV) 2000 Sep 7-9 |
30 |
11 |
19 |
40 |
|
(RV) 2000 Aug 24-27 |
34 |
11 |
16 |
39 |
|
(RV) 2000 Aug 18-19 |
36 |
11 |
14 |
39 |
|
(RV) 2000 Aug 11-12 |
42 |
10 |
17 |
31 |
|
(RV) 2000 Aug 7-9 |
36 |
12 |
20 |
32 |
|
(RV) 2000 Mar 10-12 |
36 |
13 |
15 |
36 |
|
(RV) 2000 Jan 17-19 |
40 |
13 |
17 |
30 |
|
(RV) 2000 Jan 7-10 |
38 |
13 |
17 |
32 |
4-1. Next, we'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him. How about... [Random order]
A. Al Gore
|
Favorable |
Unfavorable |
Never heard of |
No opinion |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Likely Voters |
||||
|
2000 Oct 20-22 |
58 |
39 |
* |
3 |
|
2000 Oct 5-7 |
53 |
43 |
0 |
4 |
|
2000 Sep 28-30 |
59 |
36 |
0 |
5 |
|
2000 Sep 15-17 |
61 |
33 |
0 |
6 |
|
2000 Aug 18-19 |
61 |
35 |
0 |
4 |
|
2000 Aug 4-5 |
51 |
44 |
* |
5 |
|
2000 Jul 25-26 |
52 |
44 |
* |
4 |
|
2000 Jul 14-16 |
57 |
38 |
0 |
5 |
|
2000 Jun 23-25 |
50 |
43 |
* |
7 |
|
2000 Jun 6-7 |
53 |
40 |
0 |
7 |
|
2000 Apr 28-30 |
51 |
44 |
* |
5 |
|
2000 Mar 10-12 |
56 |
41 |
0 |
3 |
|
2000 Feb 25-27 |
55 |
40 |
* |
5 |
|
2000 Feb 20-21 |
55 |
39 |
* |
6 |
|
2000 Feb 4-6 |
53 |
43 |
0 |
4 |
|
2000 Jan 17-19 |
55 |
42 |
0 |
3 |
|
Registered Voters |
||||
|
2000 Oct 20-22 |
57 |
39 |
* |
4 |
|
2000 Oct 5-7 |
57 |
37 |
* |
6 |
|
2000 Sep 28-30 |
61 |
31 |
0 |
8 |
|
2000 Sep 15-17 |
62 |
30 |
* |
8 |
|
2000 Aug 18-19 |
63 |
31 |
* |
6 |
|
2000 Aug 4-5 |
52 |
43 |
* |
5 |
|
2000 Jul 25-26 |
56 |
39 |
* |
5 |
|
2000 Jul 14-16 |
57 |
35 |
* |
8 |
|
2000 Jun 23-25 |
53 |
39 |
* |
8 |
|
2000 Jun 6-7 |
56 |
37 |
* |
7 |
|
2000 Apr 28-30 |
53 |
39 |
1 |
7 |
|
2000 Mar 10-12 |
59 |
37 |
* |
4 |
|
2000 Feb 25-27 |
58 |
37 |
* |
5 |
|
2000 Feb 20-21 |
56 |
37 |
1 |
6 |
|
2000 Feb 4-6 |
56 |
39 |
1 |
4 |
|
2000 Jan 17-19 |
56 |
39 |
* |
5 |
Q.4-1 CONTINUED
B. George W. Bush
|
Favorable |
Unfavorable |
Never heard of |
No opinion |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Likely Voters |
||||
|
2000 Oct 20-22 |
60 |
36 |
* |
4 |
|
2000 Oct 5-7 |
61 |
35 |
* |
4 |
|
2000 Sep 28-30 |
59 |
36 |
0 |
5 |
|
2000 Sep 15-17 |
52 |
42 |
0 |
6 |
|
2000 Aug 18-19 |
61 |
35 |
0 |
4 |
|
2000 Aug 4-5 |
67 |
30 |
* |
3 |
|
2000 Jul 25-26 |
67 |
30 |
* |
3 |
|
2000 Jul 14-16 |
66 |
29 |
0 |
5 |
|
2000 Jun 23-25 |
61 |
32 |
* |
7 |
|
2000 Jun 6-7 |
56 |
37 |
0 |
7 |
|
2000 Apr 28-30 |
65 |
32 |
0 |
3 |
|
2000 Mar 10-12 |
62 |
34 |
0 |
4 |
|
2000 Feb 25-27 |
59 |
35 |
* |
6 |
|
2000 Feb 20-21 |
57 |
37 |
0 |
6 |
|
2000 Feb 4-6 |
65 |
31 |
0 |
4 |
|
2000 Jan 17-19 |
66 |
29 |
0 |
5 |
|
Registered Voters |
||||
|
2000 Oct 20-22 |
59 |
37 |
* |
4 |
|
2000 Oct 5-7 |
58 |
36 |
* |
6 |
|
2000 Sep 28-30 |
55 |
38 |
0 |
7 |
|
2000 Sep 15-17 |
51 |
41 |
1 |
7 |
|
2000 Aug 18-19 |
61 |
33 |
* |
6 |
|
2000 Aug 4-5 |
69 |
27 |
* |
4 |
|
2000 Jul 25-26 |
64 |
31 |
* |
5 |
|
2000 Jul 14-16 |
64 |
29 |
* |
7 |
|
2000 Jun 23-25 |
60 |
32 |
* |
8 |
|
2000 Jun 6-7 |
57 |
35 |
0 |
8 |
|
2000 Apr 28-30 |
61 |
33 |
* |
6 |
|
2000 Mar 10-12 |
63 |
33 |
* |
4 |
|
2000 Feb 25-27 |
58 |
37 |
* |
5 |
|
2000 Feb 20-21 |
57 |
35 |
* |
8 |
|
2000 Feb 4-6 |
64 |
31 |
0 |
5 |
|
2000 Jan 17-19 |
67 |
26 |
* |
7 |
Which of the following do you think will be most important to you when you decide who to vote for -- [ROTATED: where the candidates stand on issues that matter to you (or) the leadership skills and vision that you think the candidates would have as president]?
|
Stance on |
Leadership skills and vision |
BOTH |
|
No |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Likely Voters |
|||||
|
(LV) 2000 Oct 20-22 |
44 |
36 |
17 |
1 |
2 |
|
(LV) 2000 Sep 28-30 |
44 |
36 |
15 |
2 |
3 |
|
(LV) 2000 Sep 11-13 |
44 |
38 |
15 |
1 |
2 |
|
(LV) 2000 Sep 10-12 |
47 |
35 |
14 |
1 |
3 |
|
(LV) 2000 Sep 9-11 |
48 |
33 |
16 |
1 |
2 |
|
(LV) 2000 Sep 8-10 |
48 |
33 |
16 |
1 |
2 |
|
(LV) 2000 Sep 7-9 |
45 |
35 |
16 |
1 |
3 |
|
(LV) 2000 Aug 18-19 |
43 |
37 |
18 |
1 |
1 |
|
(LV) 2000 Aug 11-12 |
46 |
36 |
17 |
* |
1 |
|
(LV) 2000 Jul 25-26 |
40 |
39 |
20 |
* |
1 |
|
(LV) 2000 Mar 10-12 |
38 |
50 |
11 |
1 |
* |
|
(LV) 2000 Feb 25-27 |
41 |
47 |
11 |
* |
1 |
|
(LV) 2000 Feb 4-6 |
39 |
48 |
12 |
* |
1 |
|
(LV) 2000 Jan 17-19 |
37 |
44 |
17 |
-- |
2 |
|
(LV) 2000 Jan 13-16 |
39 |
47 |
13 |
1 |
-- |
|
(LV) 2000 Jan 7-10 |
36 |
51 |
12 |
1 |
* |
|
Registered Voters |
|||||
|
(RV) 2000 Oct 20-22 |
43 |
38 |
15 |
1 |
3 |
|
(RV) 2000 Sep 28-30 |
45 |
34 |
15 |
2 |
4 |
|
(RV) 2000 Sep 11-13 |
46 |
36 |
13 |
1 |
4 |
|
(RV) 2000 Sep 10-12 |
48 |
34 |
13 |
1 |
4 |
|
(RV) 2000 Sep 9-11 |
48 |
33 |
15 |
* |
4 |
|
(RV) 2000 Sep 8-10 |
49 |
33 |
14 |
1 |
3 |
|
(RV) 2000 Sep 7-9 |
46 |
34 |
15 |
1 |
4 |
|
(RV) 2000 Aug 18-19 |
43 |
39 |
16 |
1 |
1 |
|
(RV) 2000 Aug 11-12 |
45 |
37 |
15 |
1 |
2 |
|
(RV) 2000 Jul 25-26 |
39 |
40 |
18 |
1 |
2 |
|
(RV) 2000 Mar 10-12 |
37 |
50 |
10 |
1 |
2 |
|
(RV) 2000 Feb 25-27 |
41 |
48 |
10 |
* |
1 |
|
(RV) 2000 Feb 4-6 |
40 |
46 |
12 |
* |
2 |
|
(RV) 2000 Jan 17-19 |
36 |
46 |
16 |
* |
2 |
|
(RV) 2000 Jan 13-16 |
35 |
51 |
11 |
1 |
2 |
|
(RV) 2000 Jan 7-10 |
38 |
50 |
10 |
1 |
1 |
12. Please tell me whether you agree or disagree that [ROTATE: Al Gore/George Bush] has the personality and leadership qualities a president should have. How about…?
A. Al Gore
|
Agree |
Disagree |
No opinion |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Likely Voters |
|||
|
(LV) 2000 Oct 20-22 |
58 |
38 |
4 |
|
(LV) 2000 Sep 28-30 |
60 |
36 |
4 |
|
(LV) 2000 Sep 8-10 |
62 |
34 |
4 |
|
(LV) 2000 Sep 7-9 |
62 |
33 |
5 |
|
(LV) 2000 Aug 18-19 |
59 |
38 |
3 |
|
(LV) 2000 Aug 11-12 |
53 |
42 |
5 |
|
(LV) 2000 Aug 4-5 |
51 |
45 |
4 |
|
(LV) 2000 Jul 25-26 |
49 |
49 |
2 |
|
(LV) 2000 Apr 7-9 |
51 |
44 |
5 |
|
(LV) 2000 Jan 17-19 |
50 |
47 |
3 |
|
Registered Voters |
|||
|
(RV) 2000 Oct 20-22 |
59 |
37 |
4 |
|
(RV) 2000 Sep 28-30 |
62 |
32 |
6 |
|
(RV) 2000 Sep 8-10 |
62 |
32 |
6 |
|
(RV) 2000 Sep 7-9 |
60 |
32 |
8 |
|
(RV) 2000 Aug 18-19 |
62 |
34 |
4 |
|
(RV) 2000 Aug 11-12 |
55 |
38 |
7 |
|
(RV) 2000 Aug 4-5 |
52 |
44 |
4 |
|
(RV) 2000 Jul 25-26 |
52 |
44 |
4 |
|
(RV) 2000 Apr 7-9 |
51 |
43 |
6 |
|
(RV) 2000 Jan 17-19 |
52 |
44 |
4 |
Q.12 CONTINUED
B. George W. Bush
|
Agree |
Disagree |
No opinion |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Likely Voters |
|||
|
(LV) 2000 Oct 20-22 |
58 |
39 |
3 |
|
(LV) 2000 Sep 28-30 |
58 |
37 |
5 |
|
(LV) 2000 Sep 8-10 |
57 |
39 |
4 |
|
(LV) 2000 Sep 7-9 |
59 |
37 |
4 |
|
(LV) 2000 Aug 18-19 |
63 |
34 |
3 |
|
(LV) 2000 Aug 11-12 |
67 |
28 |
5 |
|
(LV) 2000 Aug 4-5 |
71 |
26 |
3 |
|
(LV) 2000 Jul 25-26 |
65 |
31 |
4 |
|
(LV) 2000 Apr 7-9 |
62 |
31 |
7 |
|
(LV) 2000 Jan 17-19 |
64 |
32 |
4 |
|
Registered Voters |
|||
|
(RV) 2000 Oct 20-22 |
57 |
39 |
4 |
|
(RV) 2000 Sep 28-30 |
56 |
38 |
6 |
|
(RV) 2000 Sep 8-10 |
57 |
37 |
6 |
|
(RV) 2000 Sep 7-9 |
58 |
35 |
7 |
|
(RV) 2000 Aug 18-19 |
64 |
32 |
4 |
|
(RV) 2000 Aug 11-12 |
66 |
27 |
7 |
|
(RV) 2000 Aug 4-5 |
71 |
25 |
4 |
|
(RV) 2000 Jul 25-26 |
62 |
32 |
6 |
|
(RV) 2000 Apr 7-9 |
62 |
30 |
8 |
|
(RV) 2000 Jan 17-19 |
65 |
29 |
6 |
13. Next, do you think the policies being proposed by each of the following presidential candidates would move the country in the right direction or in the wrong direction? How about…[ROTATED: Al Gore, George W. Bush]?
A. Al Gore
|
Right direction |
Wrong direction |
No opinion |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Likely Voters |
|||
|
(LV) 2000 Oct 20-22 |
55 |
39 |
6 |
|
(LV) 2000 Sep 28-30 |
55 |
38 |
7 |
|
(LV) 2000 Sep 8-10 |
57 |
33 |
10 |
|
(LV) 2000 Sep 7-9 |
56 |
33 |
11 |
|
(LV) 2000 Aug 18-19 |
58 |
38 |
4 |
|
(LV) 2000 Apr 7-9 |
56 |
30 |
14 |
|
Registered Voters |
|||
|
(RV) 2000 Oct 20-22 |
56 |
38 |
6 |
|
(RV) 2000 Sep 28-30 |
56 |
33 |
11 |
|
(RV) 2000 Sep 8-10 |
58 |
29 |
13 |
|
(RV) 2000 Sep 7-9 |
56 |
29 |
15 |
|
(RV) 2000 Aug 18-19 |
61 |
34 |
5 |
|
(RV) 2000 Apr 7-9 |
53 |
28 |
19 |
|
(RV) 1999 Oct 8-10 |
52 |
41 |
7 |
B. George W. Bush
|
Right direction |
Wrong direction |
No opinion |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Likely Voters |
|||
|
(LV) 2000 Oct 20-22 |
54 |
39 |
7 |
|
(LV) 2000 Sep 28-30 |
54 |
36 |
10 |
|
(LV) 2000 Sep 8-10 |
51 |
38 |
11 |
|
(LV) 2000 Sep 7-9 |
51 |
38 |
11 |
|
(LV) 2000 Aug 18-19 |
57 |
37 |
6 |
|
(LV) 2000 Apr 7-9 |
51 |
36 |
13 |
|
Registered Voters |
|||
|
(RV) 2000 Oct 20-22 |
53 |
38 |
9 |
|
(RV) 2000 Sep 28-30 |
51 |
36 |
13 |
|
(RV) 2000 Sep 8-10 |
49 |
36 |
15 |
|
(RV) 2000 Sep 7-9 |
49 |
33 |
18 |
|
(NA) 2000 Aug 18-19 |
57 |
35 |
8 |
|
(NA) 2000 Apr 7-9 |
51 |
33 |
16 |
|
(NA) 1999 Oct 8-10 |
63 |
29 |
8 |
32.Do you think that [ROTATED: Al Gore/George W. Bush] is honest and trustworthy, or not?
A. Al Gore
|
Yes |
No |
No opinion |
|
|
Likely Voters |
|||
|
(LV) 2000 Oct 20-22 |
55% |
41 |
4 |
|
Registered Voters |
|||
|
(RV) 2000 Oct 20-22 |
55% |
39 |
6 |
B. George W. Bush
|
Yes |
No |
No opinion |
|
|
Likely Voters |
|||
|
(LV) 2000 Oct 20-22 |
64% |
29 |
7 |
|
Registered Voters |
|||
|
(RV) 2000 Oct 20-22 |
62% |
31 |
7 |
Bill Clinton Trend
|
Yes |
No |
No opinion |
||
|
% |
% |
% |
||
|
Likely Voters |
||||
|
(LV) 1996 Oct 12-13 ^ |
47 |
48 |
5 |
|
|
(LV) 1996 Oct 11-12 ^ |
48 |
46 |
6 |
|
|
Registered Voters |
||||
|
(RV) 1996 Oct 13-14 ^ |
44 |
52 |
4 |
|
|
(RV) 1996 Oct 12-13 ^ |
46 |
49 |
5 |
|
|
(RV) 1996 Oct 11-12 ^ |
48 |
47 |
5 |
|
|
(RV) 1996 Oct 10-11 ^ |
47 |
48 |
5 |
|
|
National Adults |
||||
|
1997 Mar 24-26 ^ |
44 |
51 |
5 |
|
|
^ |
Wording: Do you think Bill Clinton is honest and trustworthy, or not? |
|||
*Less than 0.5%