2024 U.S. Presidential Election Center

Essential Public Opinion Indicators for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election

Investigate Gallup's trends on American public sentiment related to the 2024 presidential election.

Metrics That Matter

Explore decades of trends on key indicators of public sentiment related to the 2024 election and see how current attitudes compare to past elections.

Gallup will update these indicators regularly ahead of Election Day 2024.

Browse our latest insights on Election 2024.

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01 Incumbent Presidential Job Approval Current president's job approval rating

02 U.S. Satisfaction Public satisfaction with the way things are going in the country

03 Economic Confidence Americans' assessments of the economy

04 Economic Concern Mentions of the economy as the most important problem facing the U.S.

05 Party Affiliation Percentage of Americans identifying as or leaning toward each major party

01 Incumbent Presidential Job Approval

Metric Overview: This indicator shows the percentage of Americans approving of the incumbent president's job performance.

Why This Matters: Job approval ratings close to Election Day are highly predictive of whether incumbent presidents are reelected.

Survey Question:

Do you approve or disapprove of the way [current president] is handling his job as president?

More Like This: Presidential Job Approval Center

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02 U.S. Satisfaction

Metric Overview: This indicator shows the percentage of Americans satisfied with the country's current direction. U.S. satisfaction is a key measure of the public's desire for change in an upcoming election.

Why This Matters: Low satisfaction levels may signal a public desire for changes in leadership.

Survey Question:

In general, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way things are going in the United States at this time?

More Like This: Satisfaction With the United States (Historical Trend)

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03 Economic Confidence

Metric Overview: This measure combines Americans' views on current economic conditions and their view of the economy's direction to produce an index value ranging from +100 (optimal confidence) to -100 (complete pessimism).

Why This Matters: Voters often look to the economy when assessing how the nation is doing and how well elected leaders are performing their jobs. The economy is usually one of the top election issues.

Survey Question:

1. How would you rate economic conditions in this country today -- as excellent, good, only fair or poor?

2. Right now, do you think that economic conditions in the country as a whole are getting better or getting worse?

More Like This: Global Indicators: Economic Performance and Financial Security

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04 Economic Concern

Metric Overview: This tracks Americans' mentions of the economy when asked to name, in their own words, the most important problem facing the country.

Why This Matters: The percentage of Americans citing economic issues as the most important problem is a good indicator of the importance of the U.S. economy as an election issue.

Survey Question:

What do you think is the most important problem facing the country today?(Open-ended)

More Like This: Most Important Problem (Historical Trend)

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05 Party Affiliation

Metric Overview: This indicator shows the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as or leaning Democratic minus the percentage identifying as or leaning Republican. These party trends date back to 1992 when Gallup began routinely asking independents the "leaner" question.

Why This Matters: The size of the Democratic advantage offers a view of potential voting patterns in presidential elections.

Survey Question:

In politics, as of today, do you consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat or an independent? (If independent): Do you lean more to the Democratic Party or the Republican Party?

More Like This: Party Affiliation (Historical Trend)

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