PRINCETON, NJ -- A new CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll finds former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean no longer holding a commanding lead among Democrats nationally in the race for his party's presidential nomination, as Democrats who are registered to vote appear to be taking a second look at retired Gen. Wesley Clark. After leading Clark by 15 and 21 points in two December polls that asked Democrats whom they supported for their party's nomination, Dean's advantage has shrunk to just 4 points in the Jan. 2-5 national survey (24% vs. 20%) -- within the poll's margin of error.
This tightening of the race among Democrats nationally mostly results from increased support for Clark, rather than a decline in support for Dean. Clark gained eight points over the last two weeks, while Dean lost three points, and the number of undecided Democrats declined by three points.
| Democratic Primary Preference Among Democratic registered voters |
 |
Only minor shifts in support were seen for the remaining seven candidates tested. Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry, Connecticut Sen. Joseph Lieberman, and Missouri Rep. Dick Gephardt are closely bunched, with each receiving between 9% and 11%. North Carolina Sen. John Edwards receives 6%, while former Illinois Sen. Carol Moseley Braun garners 3%, and the Rev. Al Sharpton and Ohio Rep. Dennis Kucinich are tied at 2%.
Clark's current level of support is similar to what he enjoyed upon entering the race in September. At that time, however, he was the clear front-runner, leading Dean 22% to 13%. Dean had overtaken Clark by early December, and furthered his advantage following a high-profile endorsement from Al Gore. (The current poll was taken before former New Jersey Sen. and presidential candidate Bill Bradley's endorsement of Dean on Tuesday.)
Men Taking to Clark
Sample sizes for subgroups within the registered Democratic portion of this survey are generally too small for detailed analysis of voting preferences. However, there are sufficient numbers of men and women to conclude that Clark's renewed strength appears to come principally from men. Since December, Clark has picked up 14 points from men, compared with only a 6-point increase among women.
Furthermore, Clark is now the top choice among Democratic men, while women still prefer Dean. In December (looking at the two mid-December polls combined), men preferred Dean over Clark by a 2-to-1 margin (33% of men chose Dean, while 16% of men chose Clark). Today, men prefer Clark over Dean by a five-point margin (30% vs. 25%). Women's candidate preferences have changed little over this period, with women consistently favoring Dean over Clark by a substantial margin. Today, 24% of women prefer Dean for the Democratic nomination, while 13% prefer Clark.
| Democratic Candidate Preference Among Men |
 |
| Democratic Candidate Preference Among Women |
 |
Lead Candidates Have Similar Image Ratings
Four of the Democratic presidential candidates -- Clark, Kerry, Dean, and Gephardt -- have quite similar favorable ratings from Democrats nationally, ranging from 42% to 45%. However, when factoring in the percentage viewing each candidate unfavorably, Clark is rated slightly more positively than Dean or Gephardt. Clark's net-favorable rating (percent favorable minus percent unfavorable) is +30 among Democrats, compared with +23 for Dean and +20 for Gephardt.
The worst ratings among the leading Democratic contenders belong to Lieberman, for whom his favorable rating is only eight points higher than his unfavorable rating (41% vs. 33%).
|
Candidate Image Ratings Among Democrats/Lean
Democrats |
||||
|
Favorable |
Unfavorable |
No opinion |
Net Favorable |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
||
|
Clark |
45 |
15 |
40 |
+30 |
|
Kerry |
45 |
18 |
37 |
+27 |
|
Dean |
45 |
22 |
33 |
+23 |
|
Gephardt |
42 |
22 |
36 |
+20 |
|
Edwards |
33 |
18 |
49 |
+15 |
|
Lieberman |
41 |
33 |
26 |
+8 |
Perhaps the most striking thing about these favorable ratings is how relatively unknown this field of candidates is compared with former Vice President Al Gore in 2000. In January 2000, 82% of Democrats had a favorable view of Gore and less than 1% had never heard of him. Despite the enormous publicity accorded Dean in recent months, a third of Democrats say they still don't know enough about him to have formulated an opinion.
The implication is that the race could become quite volatile once the presidential primaries start rolling in three weeks, and the candidates become better known.
Survey Methods
These results are based on telephone interviews with a randomly selected national sample of 1,029 adults, aged 18 and older, conducted Jan. 2-5, 2004. For results based on the total sample of national adults, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum error attributable to sampling and other random effects is ±3 percentage points. For results based on the sub-sample of 418 Democrats and Democratic leaners who are registered to vote, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±5 percentage points. In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.
5. Next, we'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. First, ... How about... [ITEM A READ FIRST, THEN ITEMS B-D ROTATED, ITEM E READ LAST]
A. George W. Bush
|
Favor- |
Unfavor- |
No |
Favor- |
Unfavor- |
No |
||||
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
||||
|
2004 |
2000 |
||||||||
|
2004 Jan 2-5 |
65 |
35 |
* |
2000 Nov 4-5 † |
55 |
39 |
6 |
||
|
2000 Oct 24-26 † |
62 |
33 |
5 |
||||||
|
2003 |
2000 Oct 23-25 † |
60 |
35 |
5 |
|||||
|
2003 Oct 6-8 |
60 |
39 |
1 |
2000 Oct 20-22 † |
59 |
37 |
4 |
||
|
2003 Jun 27-29 ^ |
65 |
34 |
1 |
2000 Oct 5-7 † |
58 |
36 |
6 |
||
|
2003 Jun 9-10 |
66 |
33 |
1 |
2000 Sep 28-30 † |
55 |
38 |
7 |
||
|
2003 Jan 31-Feb 2 |
68 |
32 |
* |
2000 Sep 15-17 † |
51 |
41 |
8 |
||
|
2002 |
2000 Aug 18-19 |
60 |
34 |
6 |
|||||
|
2002 Dec 16-17 |
68 |
30 |
2 |
2000 Aug 4-5 |
67 |
28 |
5 |
||
|
2002 Sep 23-26 |
70 |
28 |
2 |
2000 Jul 25-26 |
63 |
31 |
6 |
||
|
2002 Jul 26-28 |
71 |
26 |
3 |
2000 Jul 14-16 |
64 |
29 |
7 |
||
|
2002 May 20-22 |
80 |
18 |
2 |
2000 Jun 23-25 |
60 |
31 |
9 |
||
|
2002 Apr 29-May 1 |
79 |
19 |
2 |
2000 Jun 6-7 |
64 |
29 |
7 |
||
|
2002 Jan 11-14 |
83 |
15 |
2 |
2000 Apr 28-30 |
61 |
33 |
6 |
||
|
2001 |
2000 Mar 10-12 |
63 |
32 |
5 |
|||||
|
2001 Nov 26-27 |
87 |
11 |
2 |
2000 Feb 25-27 |
57 |
35 |
8 |
||
|
2001 Aug 3-5 |
60 |
35 |
5 |
2000 Feb 20-21 |
58 |
35 |
7 |
||
|
2001 Jun 8-10 |
62 |
36 |
2 |
2000 Feb 4-6 |
63 |
31 |
6 |
||
|
2001 Apr 20-22 |
65 |
32 |
3 |
2000 Jan 17-19 |
66 |
26 |
8 |
||
|
2001 Mar 9-11 |
63 |
32 |
5 |
1999 |
|||||
|
2001 Mar 5-7 |
69 |
28 |
3 |
1999 Dec 9-12 |
68 |
25 |
7 |
||
|
2001 Feb 19-21 |
67 |
27 |
6 |
1999 Oct 21-24 |
71 |
21 |
8 |
||
|
2001 Feb 1-4 |
64 |
33 |
3 |
1999 Oct 8-10 |
70 |
25 |
5 |
||
|
2001 Jan 15-16 |
62 |
36 |
2 |
1999 Sep 23-26 |
71 |
22 |
7 |
||
|
2000 |
1999 Aug 16-18 |
68 |
21 |
11 |
|||||
|
2000 Dec 15-17 |
59 |
36 |
5 |
1999 Jun 25-27 |
69 |
16 |
15 |
||
|
2000 Dec 2-4 |
56 |
40 |
4 |
1999 Apr 13-14 |
73 |
15 |
12 |
||
|
2000 Nov 13-15 |
53 |
43 |
4 |
1999 Feb 19-21 |
69 |
12 |
19 |
||
|
2000 Nov 13-15 † |
54 |
43 |
3 |
||||||
|
^ |
Asked of a half sample. |
||||||||
|
† |
Based on registered voters. |
||||||||
B. Massachusetts Senator, John Kerry
|
|
Unfavora- |
Never |
No |
||
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
||
|
National Adults |
|||||
|
2004 Jan 2-5 |
31 |
32 |
19 |
18 |
|
|
2003 Nov 10-12 |
31 |
24 |
26 |
19 |
|
|
2002 Dec 16-17 |
31 |
13 |
32 |
24 |
|
|
1999 Feb 19-21 |
30 |
9 |
39 |
22 |
|
|
Republican/Republican Leaners |
|||||
|
2004 Jan 2-5 |
18 |
47 |
18 |
17 |
|
|
2003 Nov 10-12 |
19 |
40 |
21 |
20 |
|
|
2002 Dec 16-17 |
24 |
19 |
30 |
27 |
|
|
1999 Feb 19-21 |
29 |
14 |
33 |
24 |
|
|
Democrats/Democratic Leaners |
|||||
|
2004 Jan 2-5 |
45 |
18 |
20 |
17 |
|
|
2003 Nov 10-12 |
44 |
11 |
28 |
17 |
|
|
2003 Aug 25-26 ^ |
43 |
13 |
32 |
12 |
|
|
2002 Dec 16-17 |
38 |
7 |
33 |
22 |
|
|
1999 Feb 19-21 |
33 |
6 |
41 |
20 |
|
|
1998 May 8-10 ^ |
28 |
10 |
39 |
23 |
|
|
^ |
Asked of Democrats or Democratic leaners only. |
||||
C. Connecticut Senator, Joe Lieberman
|
|
|
Never |
No |
||
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
||
|
National Adults |
|||||
|
2004 Jan 2-5 |
38 |
37 |
10 |
15 |
|
|
2003 Nov 10-12 |
39 |
28 |
15 |
18 |
|
|
2003 Mar 29-30 |
41 |
26 |
13 |
20 |
|
|
2002 Dec 16-17 |
44 |
24 |
16 |
16 |
|
|
2001 Mar 9-11 ^ |
52 |
20 |
10 |
18 |
|
|
2000 Dec 2-4 † |
47 |
30 |
11 |
12 |
|
|
2000 Nov 13-15 ‡ |
48 |
23 |
8 |
21 |
|
|
2000 Nov 13-15 ‡ (RV) |
50 |
23 |
8 |
19 |
|
|
2000 Sep 15-17 ‡ (RV) |
52 |
17 |
9 |
22 |
|
|
2000 Aug 18-19‡ (RV) |
58 |
12 |
9 |
21 |
|
|
Republican/Republican Leaners |
|||||
|
2004 Jan 2-5 |
37 |
42 |
7 |
14 |
|
|
2003 Nov 10-12 |
28 |
40 |
13 |
19 |
|
|
2003 Mar 29-30 |
34 |
38 |
10 |
18 |
|
|
2002 Dec 16-17 |
36 |
32 |
14 |
18 |
|
|
2001 Mar 9-11 † |
44 |
35 |
5 |
16 |
|
|
2000 Dec 2-4 ‡ |
29 |
53 |
6 |
12 |
|
|
2000 Nov 13-15 ‡ |
34 |
40 |
7 |
19 |
|
|
2000 Sep 15-17 ‡ (RV) |
39 |
27 |
6 |
28 |
|
|
2000 Aug 18-19 ‡ (RV) |
43 |
22 |
11 |
24 |
|
|
Democrats/Democratic Leaners |
|||||
|
2004 Jan 2-5 |
41 |
33 |
11 |
15 |
|
|
2003 Nov 10-12 |
50 |
19 |
15 |
16 |
|
|
2003 Aug 25-26 ^ |
53 |
20 |
17 |
10 |
|
|
2003 Mar 29-30 |
51 |
16 |
12 |
21 |
|
|
2002 Dec 16-17 |
54 |
16 |
15 |
15 |
|
|
2001 Mar 9-11 † |
62 |
10 |
11 |
17 |
|
|
2000 Dec 2-4 ‡ |
68 |
11 |
10 |
11 |
|
|
2000 Nov 13-15 ‡ |
62 |
10 |
9 |
19 |
|
|
2000 Sep 15-17 ‡ (RV) |
65 |
8 |
11 |
16 |
|
|
2000 Aug 18-19 ‡ (RV) |
65 |
7 |
11 |
17 |
|
|
^ |
Asked of Democrats or Democratic leaners only. |
||||
|
† |
WORDING: Senator Joe Lieberman. |
||||
|
‡ |
WORDING: Joe Lieberman. |
||||
|
(RV) |
Based on registered voters. |
||||
D. North Carolina Senator, John Edwards
|
|
|
Never |
No |
||
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
||
|
National Adults |
|||||
|
2004 Jan 2-5 |
24 |
24 |
27 |
25 |
|
|
2003 Nov 10-12 |
22 |
18 |
37 |
23 |
|
|
Republican/Republican Leaners |
|||||
|
2004 Jan 2-5 |
15 |
32 |
25 |
28 |
|
|
2003 Nov 10-12 |
13 |
27 |
34 |
26 |
|
|
Democrats/Democratic Leaners |
|||||
|
2004 Jan 2-5 |
33 |
18 |
28 |
21 |
|
|
2003 Nov 10-12 |
32 |
10 |
38 |
20 |
|
|
2003 Aug 25-26 ^ |
26 |
12 |
42 |
20 |
|
|
^ |
Asked of Democrats or Democratic leaners only. |
||||
E. Missouri Congressman, Dick Gephardt
|
|
|
Never |
No |
||
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
||
|
National Adults |
|||||
|
2004 Jan 2-5 |
34 |
33 |
18 |
15 |
|
|
2003 Nov 10-12 |
32 |
30 |
21 |
17 |
|
|
2002 Dec 16-17 ^ |
40 |
26 |
18 |
16 |
|
|
2002 Sep 23-26 ^ |
40 |
23 |
20 |
17 |
|
|
2001 Aug 3-5 ^ |
39 |
24 |
21 |
16 |
|
|
2000 Oct 25-28 ^ |
42 |
19 |
17 |
22 |
|
|
1998 Dec 28-29 ^ |
46 |
22 |
16 |
16 |
|
|
1998 Oct 9-12 ^ † |
48 |
20 |
15 |
17 |
|
|
1997 Sep 6-7 ^ |
31 |
22 |
22 |
25 |
|
|
Republican/Republican Leaners |
|||||
|
2004 Jan 2-5 |
27 |
46 |
14 |
13 |
|
|
2003 Nov 10-12 |
22 |
43 |
17 |
18 |
|
|
2002 Dec 16-17 ^ |
34 |
39 |
12 |
15 |
|
|
2002 Sep 23-26 ^ |
33 |
34 |
18 |
15 |
|
|
2001 Aug 3-5 ^ |
29 |
41 |
16 |
14 |
|
|
2000 Oct 25-28 ^ |
29 |
33 |
14 |
24 |
|
|
1998 Dec 28-29 ^ |
38 |
36 |
14 |
12 |
|
|
1998 Oct 9-12 ^ † |
45 |
28 |
11 |
16 |
|
|
1997 Sep 6-7 ^ |
25 |
33 |
21 |
21 |
|
|
Democrats/Democratic Leaners |
|||||
|
2004 Jan 2-5 |
42 |
22 |
21 |
15 |
|
|
2003 Nov 10-12 |
42 |
19 |
22 |
17 |
|
|
2003 Aug 25-26 ‡ |
49 |
15 |
23 |
13 |
|
|
2002 Dec 16-17 ^ |
51 |
13 |
20 |
16 |
|
|
2002 Sep 23-26 ^ |
52 |
14 |
19 |
15 |
|
|
2001 Aug 3-5 ^ |
52 |
11 |
22 |
15 |
|
|
2000 Oct 25-28 ^ |
54 |
10 |
16 |
20 |
|
|
1998 Dec 28-29 ^ |
55 |
12 |
15 |
18 |
|
|
1998 Oct 9-12 ^ † |
54 |
14 |
15 |
17 |
|
|
1997 Sep 6-7 ^ |
38 |
15 |
21 |
26 |
|
|
^ |
WORDING: House Democratic Leader, Dick Gephardt. |
||||
|
† |
Asked of half sample. |
||||
|
‡ |
Asked of Democrats or Democratic leaners only |
||||
F. Former Vermont Governor, Howard Dean
|
|
|
Never |
No |
||
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
||
|
National Adults |
|||||
|
2004 Jan 2-5 |
28 |
39 |
17 |
16 |
|
|
2003 Nov 10-12 |
26 |
24 |
33 |
17 |
|
|
Republican/Republican Leaners |
|||||
|
2004 Jan 2-5 |
11 |
58 |
14 |
17 |
|
|
2003 Nov 10-12 |
16 |
41 |
27 |
16 |
|
|
Democrats/Democratic Leaners |
|||||
|
2004 Jan 2-5 |
45 |
22 |
17 |
16 |
|
|
2003 Nov 10-12 |
36 |
10 |
37 |
17 |
|
|
2003 Aug 25-26 ^ |
32 |
11 |
42 |
15 |
|
|
^ |
Asked of Democrats or Democratic leaners only. |
||||
G. Retired General, Wesley Clark
|
|
|
Never |
No |
||
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
||
|
National Adults |
|||||
|
2004 Jan 2-5 |
37 |
26 |
21 |
16 |
|
|
2003 Nov 10-12 |
34 |
20 |
28 |
18 |
|
|
2003 Sep 19-21 |
39 |
13 |
26 |
22 |
|
|
Republican/Republican Leaners |
|||||
|
2004 Jan 2-5 |
32 |
38 |
17 |
13 |
|
|
2003 Nov 10-12 |
27 |
31 |
25 |
17 |
|
|
2003 Sep 19-21 |
28 |
19 |
27 |
26 |
|
|
Democrats/Democratic Leaners |
|||||
|
2004 Jan 2-5 |
45 |
15 |
22 |
18 |
|
|
2003 Nov 10-12 |
42 |
10 |
30 |
18 |
|
|
2003 Sep 19-21 |
51 |
9 |
21 |
19 |
|
|
2003 Aug 25-26 ^ |
33 |
9 |
42 |
16 |
|
|
^ |
Asked of Democrats or Democratic leaners only. |
||||
D9-D9A. PARTY IDENTIFICATION – FOR SCREENING PURPOSES ONLY
9. Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Democratic primary for president in the next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for President in the year 2004. [ROTATED:Massachusetts Senator, John Kerry, Connecticut Senator, Joe Lieberman, North Carolina Senator, John Edwards, Missouri Congressman, Dick Gephardt, Former Vermont Governor, Howard Dean, the Reverend Al Sharpton, Ohio Congressman, Dennis Kucinich, Former Illinois Senator, Carol Moseley Braun, Retired General, Wesley Clark]
BASED ON –465—DEMOCRATS OR DEMOCRATIC LEANERS WHO ARE REGISTERED TO VOTE
BASED ON –418—DEMOCRATS OR DEMOCRATIC LEANERS
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
None/ other/ no opin. |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Democrats/Democratic Leaners who are Registered to Vote |
|||||||||||
|
2004 Jan 2-5 |
24 |
20 |
11 |
10 |
9 |
6 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
-- |
15 |
|
2003 Dec 15-16 |
27 |
12 |
7 |
12 |
7 |
6 |
3 |
6 |
2 |
-- |
18 |
|
2003 Dec 11-14 |
31 |
10 |
10 |
13 |
8 |
4 |
3 |
5 |
1 |
-- |
15 |
|
2003 Dec 5-7 |
25 |
17 |
7 |
10 |
14 |
7 |
5 |
3 |
2 |
-- |
10 |
|
2003 Nov 14-16 |
17 |
17 |
9 |
13 |
13 |
6 |
4 |
5 |
3 |
-- |
13 |
|
2003 Nov 10-12 |
17 |
14 |
10 |
15 |
12 |
7 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
-- |
15 |
|
2003 Oct 24-26 |
16 |
15 |
10 |
12 |
12 |
6 |
4 |
6 |
1 |
-- |
18 |
|
2003 Oct 10-12 |
13 |
18 |
11 |
13 |
10 |
6 |
5 |
6 |
3 |
-- |
15 |
|
2003 Oct 6-8 ^ |
16 |
21 |
13 |
13 |
8 |
2 |
4 |
6 |
2 |
-- |
15 |
|
2003 Sep 19-21 |
13 |
22 |
11 |
10 |
11 |
4 |
3 |
4 |
2 |
4 |
16 |
|
2003 Sep 8-10 |
14 |
10 |
12 |
13 |
16 |
5 |
4 |
2 |
2 |
5 |
17 |
|
2003 Aug 25-26 |
12 |
2 |
10 |
23 |
13 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
1 |
4 |
21 |
|
2003 Aug 4-6 |
15 |
-- |
12 |
18 |
15 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
2 |
5 |
19 |
|
2003 Jul 25-27 |
11 |
-- |
15 |
21 |
16 |
6 |
6 |
5 |
2 |
4 |
14 |
|
2003 Jun 12-18 |
7 |
-- |
13 |
21 |
17 |
6 |
5 |
6 |
1 |
7 |
17 |
|
2003 May 31-Jun 1 |
5 |
-- |
17 |
20 |
14 |
6 |
4 |
7 |
2 |
4 |
21 |
|
2003 Apr 22-23 |
6 |
-- |
18 |
22 |
16 |
8 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
5 |
15 |
Q.9 CONTINUED
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
None/ |
||
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|||
|
Democrats/Democratic Leaners |
||||||||||||
|
2004 Jan 2-5 |
24 |
18 |
12 |
9 |
9 |
6 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
-- |
16 |
|
|
2003 Dec 15-16 |
25 |
11 |
7 |
14 |
8 |
7 |
3 |
6 |
2 |
-- |
17 |
|
|
2003 Dec 11-14 |
28 |
12 |
9 |
12 |
7 |
6 |
3 |
5 |
1 |
-- |
17 |
|
|
2003 Dec 5-7 |
22 |
17 |
7 |
10 |
13 |
7 |
5 |
4 |
2 |
-- |
13 |
|
|
2003 Nov 14-16 |
16 |
16 |
10 |
14 |
12 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
3 |
-- |
15 |
|
|
2003 Nov 10-12 |
16 |
13 |
9 |
15 |
11 |
9 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
-- |
17 |
|
|
2003 Oct 24-26 |
15 |
15 |
9 |
11 |
12 |
6 |
4 |
6 |
2 |
-- |
20 |
|
|
2003 Oct 10-12 |
13 |
19 |
10 |
12 |
9 |
5 |
5 |
7 |
3 |
-- |
17 |
|
|
2003 Oct 6-8 ^ |
15 |
20 |
12 |
13 |
8 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
2 |
-- |
18 |
|
|
2003 Sep 19-21 |
12 |
21 |
12 |
11 |
9 |
4 |
3 |
5 |
2 |
4 |
17 |
|
|
2003 Sep 8-10 |
13 |
9 |
11 |
12 |
15 |
5 |
5 |
3 |
2 |
5 |
20 |
|
|
2003 Aug 25-26 |
11 |
2 |
9 |
23 |
13 |
5 |
4 |
4 |
1 |
6 |
22 |
|
|
2003 Aug 4-6 |
14 |
-- |
12 |
17 |
14 |
6 |
5 |
4 |
2 |
5 |
21 |
|
|
2003 Jul 25-27 |
10 |
-- |
16 |
20 |
14 |
6 |
6 |
5 |
2 |
5 |
16 |
|
|
2003 Jun 12-18 |
6 |
-- |
13 |
20 |
15 |
7 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
6 |
19 |
|
|
2003 May 31-Jun 1 |
5 |
-- |
16 |
21 |
14 |
7 |
3 |
7 |
3 |
4 |
20 |
|
|
2003 Apr 22-23 |
6 |
-- |
17 |
23 |
15 |
9 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
5 |
15 |
|
|
^ |
NOTE: Bob Graham dropped out of race on Oct. 6, his name was removed from question for Oct. 7-8 interviewing and in subsequent polls; "Graham" responses from Oct. 6 included in "other" category. |
|||||||||||
10. Are you certain to support -- [RESPONSE FROM Q.14] -- for the Democratic nomination, or do you think you might change your mind?
BASED ON –363—DEMOCRATS OR DEMOCRATIC LEANERS WHO ARE REGISTERED TO VOTE AND WHO EXPRESS A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE (margin of error ±6 PCT. PTS.)
|
Certain to vote |
Might change mind |
No opinion |
|
|
2004 Jan 2-5 |
35% |
64 |
1 |
|
2003 Nov 14-16 |
30% |
68 |
2 |