Gallup Daily: Election 2008
Results based on a five-day rolling average through June 8 and a three-day average since June 9
Gallup Daily election tracking reports the percentage of registered voters who say they would support each candidate if the presidential election were held today.
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Gallup's "traditional" likely voter model, which Gallup has employed for past elections, factors in prior voting behavior as well as current voting intention. This has generally shown a closer contest, reflecting the fact that Republicans have typically been more likely to vote than Democrats in previous elections.
Gallup Daily is tracking the percentage of registered voters who say they have already voted in this year's election, either by absentee ballot or early voting opportunities in their state, as well as those who say they plan to vote at some point before Election Day.
More U.S. voters say the Obama campaign has contacted them within the last few weeks than say the McCain campaign has done so, 38% vs. 30%.
Throughout 2024, Gallup's key indicators signaled the election environment was favorable to Republicans.
Gallup https://news.gallup.com/poll/107674/Interactive-Graph-Follow-General-Election.aspx
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