PRINCETON, NJ -- The recent turmoil in Pakistan has caused great concern around the world and in the United States, but Bush administration officials have continued to call Gen. Musharraf, president of Pakistan, an “indispensable” ally of the United States, and have said that continued partnership with Pakistan “is the only option.”
A review of 2007 Gallup Poll data shows, however, that the American people -- even well before the current state of emergency was declared -- have had largely unfavorable opinions of Pakistan. In Gallup’s latest annual update on Americans’ ratings of foreign countries, conducted this past February, 64% said their opinion of Pakistan was unfavorable, while 28% said their opinion was favorable.
Next, I’d like your overall opinion of some foreign countries. Is your overall opinion of Pakistan very favorable, mostly favorable, mostly unfavorable, or very unfavorable?
|
Very
|
Mostly
|
Mostly
|
Very
|
No
|
Total
|
Total
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
2007 Feb 1-4 |
2 |
26 |
45 |
19 |
8 |
28 |
64 |
2006 Feb 6-9 |
2 |
28 |
43 |
16 |
11 |
30 |
59 |
2005 Feb 7-10 |
4 |
37 |
40 |
9 |
10 |
41 |
49 |
2004 Feb 9-12 |
3 |
25 |
42 |
22 |
8 |
28 |
64 |
2003 Feb 3-6 |
2 |
24 |
42 |
20 |
12 |
26 |
62 |
2002 Feb 4-6 |
4 |
26 |
42 |
21 |
7 |
30 |
63 |
2000 Mar 17-19 |
2 |
19 |
39 |
20 |
20 |
21 |
59 |
Americans’ negative views of Pakistan have been fairly consistent except for one poll conducted in February 2005, when opinions were somewhat more positive. (An analysis of opinions about Pakistan by population subgroup shows there is little difference by political identification in these attitudes. In the most recent poll, Republicans were only slightly more positive than Democrats.)
Despite these negative opinions, a late October Gallup Panel survey showed that few Americans at that time spontaneously mentioned Pakistan as the “greatest threat to stability in the world.”
What single country do you consider to be the greatest threat to stability in the world? [OPEN-ENDED]
|
2007 Oct 25-28 |
|
% |
Iran |
35 |
China |
19 |
North Korea/Korea |
10 |
Iraq |
9 |
United States |
8 |
Russia |
4 |
Pakistan |
2 |
Afghanistan |
1 |
Saudi Arabia |
1 |
Israel |
1 |
|
|
Other |
3 |
No opinion |
6 |
Only 2% of Americans mentioned Pakistan in response to this question, far less than mentioned Iran, China, North Korea, and other countries.
A follow-up question in the October poll asked Americans how important it was that presidential candidates talk about what they would do in regard to various countries if elected president. About half of Americans said Pakistan is “very important” for candidates to discuss, again significantly less than the frequency of mention of such countries as Iraq and Iran. However, when the “very” and “somewhat important” percentages for Pakistan are combined, the result is a substantial 91% who think the country is important for candidates to discuss. It is unclear what effect the recent state of emergency might have on these results.
Still thinking about international matters, how important is it to you that the presidential candidates talk about what they would do as president to deal with the situations in each of the following countries -- very important, somewhat important, not too important, or not important at all? How about -- [RANDOM ORDER]?
|
|
|
|
Not
|
|
Very/
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
Iraq |
87 |
9 |
2 |
2 |
* |
96 |
Iran |
80 |
16 |
3 |
2 |
* |
96 |
Afghanistan |
65 |
28 |
5 |
2 |
* |
93 |
China |
65 |
26 |
6 |
3 |
* |
91 |
Pakistan |
52 |
39 |
7 |
2 |
1 |
91 |
The Palestinian territories |
57 |
32 |
8 |
3 |
1 |
89 |
Israel |
55 |
33 |
8 |
4 |
* |
88 |
Sudan |
39 |
41 |
14 |
4 |
1 |
80 |
Turkey |
32 |
46 |
14 |
6 |
1 |
78 |
Venezuela |
23 |
43 |
23 |
9 |
1 |
66 |
Cuba |
23 |
41 |
24 |
12 |
* |
64 |
* Less than 0.5% |
Bottom Line
Even before the recent state of emergency in Pakistan became headline news, Gallup polling showed that Americans held generally quite negative views of the country. Almost two-thirds of Americans in Gallup’s February update said their opinion of Pakistan was unfavorable. Few Americans polled before the military takeover said Pakistan was the country that posed the greatest threat to stability in the world, and just about half at that point said it was very important that presidential candidates talk about Pakistan as part of their election campaigns.
Survey Methods
Results are based on telephone interviews with 1,007 national adults, aged 18 and older, conducted Feb. 1-4, 2007. For results based on this sample, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.
Results for the Gallup Panel study are based on telephone interviews with 1,000 national adults, aged 18 and older, conducted Oct. 25-28, 2007. Gallup Panel members are recruited through random selection methods. The panel is weighted so that it is demographically representative of the U.S. adult population. For results based on this sample, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±4 percentage points.
In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.