Election 2012 Registered Voters Trial Heat: Obama vs. Romney
Date(s)
Obama
Romney
11/1-4/2012
49%
46%
10/22-28/2012
48%
48%
10/21-27/2012
48%
47%
10/20-26/2012
48%
48%
10/19-25/2012
48%
48%
10/18-24/2012
48%
47%
10/17-23/2012
48%
47%
10/16-22/2012
47%
48%
10/15-21/2012
47%
48%
10/14-20/2012
46%
49%
These are the results when registered voters are asked: "Suppose the presidential election were held today, and it included Barack Obama and Joe Biden as the Democratic Party's candidates and Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan as the Republican Party's candidates. Who would you vote for [ROTATED: Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats (or) Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, the Republicans]? Those who are undecided are further asked if they lean more toward Obama and Biden or Romney and Ryan and their leanings are incorporated into the results. Each seven-day rolling average is based on telephone interviews with approximately 3,050 registered voters; Margin of error is ±2 percentage points. Results from April 15 through May 6 are based on five-day rolling averages with approximately 2,200 registered voters each; Margin of error is ±3 percentage points. Editorial note: Due to a technical issue, the May 1-5 data point is not displayed at this time.
President Barack Obama and Republican challenger Mitt Romney are within one percentage point of each other in Gallup's final pre-election survey of likely voters, with Romney holding 49% of the vote and Obama 48%.
The majority of Americans are satisfied with how Barack Obama (58%) and Mitt Romney (54%) have conducted their presidential campaigns. Obama's rating is down from 66% in 2008, while Romney beats John McCain's 40%.
Fifty-four percent of U.S. voters have the same ideological views as either Barack Obama or Mitt Romney, or both. Sixty percent describe Obama's political views as liberal/very liberal, and Romney's as conservative/very conservative.